Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Porto

Gyokeres (11'), Goncalves (60')
Santos (25'), Quaresma (57'), Inacio (70'), Esgaio (90+7'), Hjulmand (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (15'), Varela (17'), Taremi (68'), Conceicao (81')
Pepe (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 5-3 Shakhtar
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Porto had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
52.83% ( -0.41)	23.49% ( 0.27)	23.68% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.46% (

-1.06)

45.54% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-1.02)

67.87% (

1.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.53)

17.21% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.95)

47.49% (

0.95)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

-0.47)

33.3% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

-0.51)

69.92% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 52.83%

Porto 23.68%

Draw 23.48%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.68%