/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fshaklog.png)
-
Galeno
9'
-
Claudio Ramos
30'
-
Sergio Conceicao
30'
-
Galeno
43'
-
Mehdi Taremi
62'
-
Pepe
75'
-
Francisco Conceicao
82'
-
Danylo Sikan
29'
-
Heorhiy Sudakov
54'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
72'
(OG)
-
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos
88'
-
Egor Nazaryna
90'
-
Valeriy Bondar
90'+1'
Porto vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fevanilson.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
63.03%
▼
(-0.27)
Draw
18.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk
18.17%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
63.26%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.91%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
31.09%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
47.5%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
52.49%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 4.5
28.48%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
71.51%
▼
(-0.30)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
90.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
9.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
68.13%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
31.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
69.9%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
30.1%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
33.76%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
66.23%
▼
(-0.50)
Score analysis
Porto
63.03%
Draw
18.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
18.17%
Porto
2-1
@
9.51%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.07%
5-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 63.03%
2-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.07%
5-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 63.03%
Draw
1-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.8%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2
@
4.85%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 18.17%
0-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 18.17%