/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Evanilson
12'
-
Evanilson
36'
-
Alan Varela
39'
-
Ze Pedro
49'
-
Pepe
81'
-
Jorge Sanchez
88'
-
Fernando
89'
-
Pablo Roberto
90'+2'
Porto vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
83.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
11.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Casa Pia
4.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
37.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
37.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
40.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
59.51%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
22.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
77.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
93.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
6.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
75.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
24.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
39.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
60.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
9.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
90.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Porto
83.64%
Draw
11.63%
Casa Pia
4.7%
Porto
2-0
@
14.62%
▼
(-0.02)
3-0 @ 13.27%
1-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 83.64%
3-0 @ 13.27%
1-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 83.64%
Draw
1-1
@
5.47%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 11.63%
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 11.63%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
2.01%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.7%
1-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.7%