MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 21:05:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Portimonense

Justo (55')
Justo (13'), Moreira (14'), Dias (42'), Geraldes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrao (67'), Jasper (74'), Varela (90+3')
Cassama (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Portimonense

Nothing seems to be clicking for Casa Pia at the moment, and their lack of goals this season does not bode well for their chances of avoiding the drop. Portimonense will be licking their lips at this one, knowing that their opponents are in a bad way. We are expecting a low-scoring affair here and feel as though the first goal could end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
45.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 26.21% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 28.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.058 -0.06)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.118 -0.12)57.35% (0.118 0.12)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 45.52%
    Portimonense 28.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
1-1
Portimonense
Soares (68')
Rochez (90+5')
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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