Europa League
Dec 14, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Viktor Gyokeres 39' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 60' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 75'

Sporting Lisbon vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Rakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 70.62% (-0.18)
Draw 16.61% (+0.08)
Sturm Graz 12.76% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.7% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.03% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 31.96% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 46.48% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 53.52% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 27.58% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 72.42% (+0.14)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 91.94% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 8.06% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 71.65% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 28.35% (+0.18)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 62.76% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 37.24% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 25.97% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 74.02% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 70.62%
Draw 16.61%
Sturm Graz 12.76%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.99% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.56% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.9%
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 70.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.46% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.61%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 12.76%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 45' yellowcard
  • William Boving 58' goal
  • David Affengruber 90' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 76'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 84'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+4'