Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Sturm Graz

Gyokeres (39'), Inacio (60', 70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gorenc Stankovic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Sturm Graz
70.62% ( -0.18)	16.61% ( 0.08)	12.76% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.03% (

-0.13)

31.96% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.48% (

-0.15)

53.52% (

0.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.94% (

-0.07)

8.06% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.65% (

-0.17)

28.35% (

0.17)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

0.06)

37.24% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97% (

0.06)

74.02% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 70.62%

Sturm Graz 12.76%

Draw 16.61%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.9% 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 70.62%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.61%	1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 12.76%