Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.