Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sportplatz KAC

Austria Klagenfurt
0 - 3
Sturm Graz


Irving (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gorenc Stankovic (3'), Horvat (19', 67')
Schnegg (71')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Klagenfurt and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 4-0 Austria Klagenfurt
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Austria KlagenfurtDrawSturm Graz
26.6% (0.151 0.15)23.85% (0.041999999999998 0.04)49.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.061 -0.06)66.9% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Austria Klagenfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.081999999999994 0.08)30.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.097999999999999 0.1)66.56% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)18.07% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (-0.168 -0.17)48.98% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austria Klagenfurt 26.6%
    Sturm Graz 49.54%
    Draw 23.84%
Austria KlagenfurtDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 26.6%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.54%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
Sturm Graz
0-0
Austria Klagenfurt
Benatelli (45+2'), Gemicibasi (62')