Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.