Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria Vienna would win this match.