Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Austria Vienna


Lavalee (76'), Prass (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gruber (14')
Ranftl (5'), Meisl (69'), Fruchtl (87'), Holland (89'), Fischer (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Austria Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Austria Vienna
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria Vienna would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna
36.03% (-0.364 -0.36)23.88% (0.127 0.13)40.08% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.79% (-0.531 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (-0.671 -0.67)40.4% (0.668 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-0.694 -0.69)62.78% (0.692 0.69)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.494 -0.49)22.38% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)55.89% (0.741 0.74)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.179 -0.18)20.39% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (-0.283 -0.28)52.81% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 36.03%
    Austria Vienna 40.08%
    Draw 23.88%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 40.08%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Austria Vienna
0-3
Sturm Graz

Jukic (87')
da Graca (33')
Gazibegovic (9'), Wlodarczyk (38'), Affengruber (60')
Prass (15'), Kiteishvili (71'), Sarkaria (74'), Boving (79')