Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Linzer Stadion
  • Simon Seidl 19' goal
  • Fabio Strauss 71' yellowcard
  • Tobias Koch 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tomi Horvat 48'
  • redcard Javi Serrano 54'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Christian Ilzer 90'+7'

BW Linz vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BW Linz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 BW Linz
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ronivaldo

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 4.00pm
Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

BW Linz 28.87% (+0.08)
Draw 25.74% (-0.08)
Sturm Graz 45.39% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.61% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.84% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 51.16% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 26.99% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73.01% (-0.31)
Over 4.5 12.65% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 87.36% (-0.20)

BW Linz Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 32.12% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 31.4% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 68.6% (-0.27)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 77.5% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 22.5% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 43.94% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 56.06% (-0.23)

Score analysis

BW Linz 28.87%
Draw 25.74%
Sturm Graz 45.39%
BW Linz
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.95% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.74%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.39%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 1' goal
  • Stefan Haudum 7' goal
  • Javi Serrano 27' yellowcard
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 61' goal
  • Manprit Sarkaria 76' goal
  • goal David Affengruber 54' (OG)