Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Linzer Stadion

BW Linz
1 - 1
Sturm Graz

Seidl (19')
Strauss (71'), Koch (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horvat (48')
Lavalee (90+1'), Ilzer (90+7')
Serrano (54')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between BW Linz and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 BW Linz
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BW LinzDrawSturm Graz
28.87% (0.070999999999998 0.07)25.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)45.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (0.35 0.35)51.16% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (0.306 0.31)73.01% (-0.303 -0.3)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (0.23399999999999 0.23)32.12% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (0.264 0.26)68.6% (-0.261 -0.26)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.154 0.15)22.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.227 0.23)56.06% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    BW Linz 28.87%
    Sturm Graz 45.39%
    Draw 25.74%
BW LinzDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.87%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.39%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 5
Sturm Graz
4-1
BW Linz
Wlodarczyk (1', 61'), Haudum (7' og.), Sarkaria (76' pen.)
Serrano (27')
Affengruber (54' og.)