Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.