MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 02:25:09| >> :120:17235:17235:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Rakow
Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Rakow

Sarkaria (82'), Affengruber (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yeboah (81')
Tudor (82'), Plavsic (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Cracovia
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Sturm Graz 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa

After a win in Poland on matchday two, Sturm will be big favourites to win here to keep their hopes alive heading into matchday six. Rakow have unsurprisingly struggled as one of the competition debutants this season, and with two huge league games on the horizon, focus may soon switch to domestic matters only. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRakow Czestochowa
55.49% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.46% (0.02 0.02) 22.05% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.56% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)42.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (0.051000000000002 0.05)65.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)15.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)44% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.13200000000001 0.13)33.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (0.145 0.15)69.84% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 55.49%
    Rakow Czestochowa 22.05%
    Draw 22.45%
Sturm GrazDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.05%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Rakow

Sturm Graz
81.6%
Draw
13.2%
Rakow Czestochowa
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Rakow
0-1
Sturm Graz

Tudor (48'), Crnac (62')
Boving (23')
Dante (35'), Silva Teixeira (88')
rhs 2.0
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