Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
45.19% ( 0.13)	23.28% ( 0.04)	31.52% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 62.51% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.15% (

-0.26)

38.84% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.84% (

-0.27)

61.16% (

0.27)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.05)

17.56% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

-0.09)

48.11% (

0.08)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

-0.23)

24.17% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

-0.33)

58.49% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 45.19%

Rakow Czestochowa 31.52%

Draw 23.28%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.52%