Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Rheindorf Altach

Jatta (3')
Lavalee (35'), Prass (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bahre (40'), Lukacevic (54'), Koller (55'), Fadinger (77'), Ingolitsch (89'), Stojanovic (90+5'), Reiner (90+4')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Rheindorf Altach.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 3-0 Austria Lustenau
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rheindorf Altach had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Rheindorf Altach win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRheindorf Altach
62.11% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)21.43% (0.023 0.02)16.46% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)68.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)14.41% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)42.32% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Rheindorf Altach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.080000000000005 0.08)41.42% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (0.07 0.07)77.93% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 62.11%
    Rheindorf Altach 16.46%
    Draw 21.43%
Sturm GrazDrawRheindorf Altach
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.11%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.46%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rheindorf Altach
1-2
Sturm Graz
Koller (78')
Standfest (0'), Bischof (88'), Strauss (88'), Gebauer (90+6')
Strauss (90+5')
Kiteishvili (62'), Gadafi Fuseini (90+1')
Kiteishvili (74'), Gazibegovic (90+7')