Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Leixoes

Conceicao (7'), Taremi (85' pen.)
Grujic (23'), Baro (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fabinho (14' pen.)
Fabinho (18'), Adriano (22'), Wakaso (24'), Freitas (68'), Teixeira (76'), Bolgado (83')
Wakaso (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Leixoes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Monday, December 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leixoes

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Leixoes 1-1 Setubal (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 3.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Leixoes
87.63% ( -0.26)	8.57% ( 0.17)	3.79% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75% (

-0.44)

25% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.08% (

-0.58)

44.92% (

0.58)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.34% (

-0.11)

3.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.22% (

-0.36)

15.78% (

0.36)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.86% (

0.02)

54.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.64% (

0.01)

87.36% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 87.63%

Leixoes 3.79%

Draw 8.57%

Porto	Draw	Leixoes
3-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 87.63%	1-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.57%	1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.34% Total : 3.79%