Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 19.3% ( | 23.11% | 57.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.17% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( | 39.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( | 16.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% | 46.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 2-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.58% |