/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fchalog.png)
-
Toni Martinez
41'
-
Alan Varela
51'
-
Joao Mario
58'
-
Fabio Cardoso
90'
-
Ruben Ribeiro
25'
-
Bruno Rodrigues
50'
-
Joao Correia
75'
-
Paulo Victor
85'
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Sandro Cruz
88'
Porto vs Chaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Fsergio-conceicao.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.27%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
79.72%
▲
(+1.27)
Draw
13.36%
▼
(-0.48)
Chaves
6.92%
▼
(-0.80)
Both Teams to Score:
45.26%
▼
(-2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.68%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 2.5
35.31%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 3.5
42.66%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 3.5
57.34%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 4.5
24.32%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 4.5
75.68%
▲
(+0.85)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
93.04%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
6.96%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
74.49%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
25.5%
▼
(-0.17)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
48.64%
▼
(-2.74)
Under 0.5
51.35%
▲
(+2.74)
Over 1.5
14.42%
▼
(-1.90)
Under 1.5
85.58%
▲
(+1.90)
Score analysis
Porto
79.71%
Draw
13.36%
Chaves
6.92%
Porto
2-0
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.66)
3-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.61)
1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.46)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.44)
4-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.25)
5-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.27)
6-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.18)
6-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 79.71%
3-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.61)
1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.46)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.44)
4-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.25)
5-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.27)
6-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.18)
6-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 79.71%
Draw
1-1
@
6.35%
▼
(-0.20)
0-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 13.36%
0-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 13.36%
Chaves
0-1
@
2.38%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 6.92%
1-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 6.92%
Joao Teixeira
80'