Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Bruno Langa 29' yellowcard
  • Jo 45' goal
  • goal Clayton 20'
  • goal Tiago Dias 23'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 52'
  • goal Clayton 82'

Chaves vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2023 8.30pm
Estoril 4 - 0 Chaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 8.30pm
Porto 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Clayton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Chaves 43.96% (+0.32)
Draw 25.64% (-0.06)
Casa Pia 30.4% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.99% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.01% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.01% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.99% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.32% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.68% (-0.07)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 77.32% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 22.68% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 43.68% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 56.33% (-0.30)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 69.57% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 30.43% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.37% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 66.63% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Chaves 43.95%
Draw 25.64%
Casa Pia 30.4%
Chaves
1-0 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.47% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.76% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.64%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.4%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Steven Vitoria 42' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Joao Nunes 28' goal
  • goal Hector Hernandez 82'
  • goal Steven Vitoria 90'+1'