Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 9, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evanilson (24', 31' pen., 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estoril
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
22.25% ( -0.09)	24.5% ( -0.01)	53.26% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

-0.07)

51.21% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.06)

73.05% (

0.06)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.23% (

-0.12)

37.77% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.46% (

-0.12)

74.54% (

0.12)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

0.01)

19.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15% (

0.01)

50.85% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 22.25%

Porto 53.26%

Draw 24.49%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 53.26%