Taca de Portugal
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Joao Marques 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 49' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 24'
  • goal Evanilson 31'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 53'
  • goal Evanilson 56'
  • goal Galeno 76'
  • yellowcard Wendell 79'

Estoril Praia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Porto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Estoril Praia 22.25% (-0.09)
Draw 24.5% (-0.01)
Porto 53.26% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.79% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 51.21% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 26.95% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.05% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 12.61% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.39% (+0.05)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.12)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 80.82% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.18% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.85% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 22.25%
Draw 24.49%
Porto 53.26%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.49%
Porto
0-1 @ 11.96% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 9.88% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 5.44% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.26%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Dec 6, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Cassiano 22' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 72' yellowcard
  • Rafik Guitane 90'+1' goal
  • Joao Carlos 90'+5' goal
  • goal Pepe 34'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 53'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 55'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 71'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 83'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Stephen Eustaquio 29' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 31' yellowcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 70' yellowcard
  • David Carmo 74' yellowcard
  • Toni Martinez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Volnei Feltes 10'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 35'
  • yellowcard Joao Marques 39'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Vital 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 55'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 56'
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 75'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Carne 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Marko Grujic 9' goal
  • Andre Franco 31' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 73' goal
  • goal Tiago Gouveia 27'
  • goal Chico Geraldes 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Tiago Gouveia 41' goal
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joaozinho 48' goal
  • Fernando 88' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2022 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Arthur 38' goal
  • Andre Franco 43' goal
  • Arthur 48' yellowcard
  • Rui Fonte 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pinheiro 64' yellowcard
  • Bruno Lourenco 81' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 49'
  • goal Luis Diaz 84'
  • goal Francisco Conceicao 89'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Otavio 90'+5'