Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Farense

Fernando (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Matias (24'), Muscat (40'), Duarte (75')
Muscat (90+5'), Mota (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	SC Farense
42.82% ( -0.41)	26.58% ( 0.1)	30.6% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 50.93% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-0.28)

53.77% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.23)

75.24% (

0.23)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-0.33)

24.88% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

-0.46)

59.49% (

0.47)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

0.08)

32.21% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

0.1)

68.7% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 42.81%

SC Farense 30.6%

Draw 26.57%

Casa Pia	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.81%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.6%