Primeira Liga
Gameweek
16
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Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
1
4
HT :
1
3
FT
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
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-
Matheus Aias
14'
-
Joao Camacho
40'
-
Jeremy Antonisse
90'+5'
-
Yuki Soma
18'
-
Felippe Cardoso
26'
-
Felippe Cardoso
35'
-
Joao Nunes
39'
-
Felippe Cardoso
56'
-
Telasco Segovia
90'+5'
Moreirense vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result
Moreirense
50.92%
▼
(-0.25)
Draw
24.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Casa Pia
24.11%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
51.03%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.68%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
51.32%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
26.85%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
73.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
12.55%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
87.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5
79.84%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
20.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
47.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
52.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
63.91%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
36.09%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
27.13%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
72.87%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Moreirense
50.92%
Draw
24.97%
Casa Pia
24.11%
Moreirense
1-0
@
11.65%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.92%
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.97%
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.97%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
7.41%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.11%