Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
5 - 2
Portimonense

de Brito Gonzaga (23'), Madson (25'), Luis (84'), Kodisang (89'), Aias (90+2')
Camacho (38'), Wallisson (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jasper (40'), Relvas (74')
Costa (47'), Relvas (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Moreirense
Monday, December 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Portimonense
49.53% ( -1.54)	25.29% ( 0.12)	25.18% ( 1.42)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

0.69)

51.7% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

0.6)

73.48% (

-0.59)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

-0.37)

20.89% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.4% (

-0.59)

53.6% (

0.59)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

1.64)

35.36% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

1.67)

72.12% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 49.53%

Portimonense 25.18%

Draw 25.28%

Moreirense	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.18%