Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 30.31% ( | 26.63% ( | 43.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( | 75.48% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( | 32.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( | 69.1% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( | 24.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.06% |