Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 2
Famalicao

Clayton (25')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chiquinho (45+1'), Cadiz (66')
Youssouf (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Chaves
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
35.98% ( -0)	27.17% ( -0.02)	36.85% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

0.08)

55.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

0.07)

76.31% (

-0.07)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

0.04)

29.29% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

0.05)

65.25% (

-0.05)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

0.05)

28.76% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

0.06)

64.6% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.98%

Famalicao 36.84%

Draw 27.17%

Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.98%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.84%