Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 29, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Famalicao

Cabral (31'), Silva (85'), Musa (89')
Kokcu (62'), Musa (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chiquinho (37'), Otavio (61'), Assuncao (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-1 AVS
Thursday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 11.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
70.21% ( -0.11)	18.28% ( 0.06)	11.51% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.52% (

-0.11)

43.48% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.12% (

-0.11)

65.87% (

0.11)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83% (

-0.06)

11.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.34% (

-0.13)

35.66% (

0.13)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.08% (

0.03)

46.91% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58% (

0.02)

82.42% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 70.2%

Famalicao 11.51%

Draw 18.28%

Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 70.2%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.28%	0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.51%