Primeira Liga
Gameweek
15
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ffamlog.png)
-
Arthur Cabral
31'
-
Orkun Kokcu
62'
-
Petar Musa
80'
-
Rafa Silva
85'
-
Petar Musa
89'
-
Chiquinho
37'
-
Otavio
61'
-
Gustavo Assuncao
90'+2'
Benfica vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Fmorato.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
70.21%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
18.28%
▲
(+0.06)
Famalicao
11.51%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
47.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
43.48%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
34.12%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
65.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
17.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
82.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
88.83%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
11.17%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
64.34%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
35.66%
▲
(+0.14)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5
53.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
46.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
17.58%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
82.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Benfica
70.2%
Draw
18.28%
Famalicao
11.51%
Benfica
2-0
@
12.58%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 70.2%
1-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 70.2%
Draw
1-1
@
8.69%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 18.28%
0-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 18.28%
Famalicao
0-1
@
3.97%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 11.51%
1-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 11.51%
Otavio
74'