/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Angel di Maria
31'
-
Joao Mario
44'
-
Antonio Silva
54'
-
Tiago Gouveia
65'
-
Anthony Correia
68'
-
John Mercado
21'
-
Vasco Lopes
51'
-
Anthony Correia
55'
-
Ze Ricardo
62'
-
Leo Alaba
87'
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Clayton
90'
Benfica vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
79.4%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
12.88%
▲
(+0.05)
AVS
7.71%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
52.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
29.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
49.77%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
50.23%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
30.53%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
69.47%
▲
(+0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
94.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
5.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
77.83%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
22.17%
▲
(+0.10)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5
55.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
44.7%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
19.31%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
80.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Benfica
79.4%
Draw
12.88%
AVS
7.71%
Benfica
2-0
@
10.48%
▲
(+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 79.4%
3-0 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 79.4%
Draw
1-1
@
5.91%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.88%
2-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.88%
AVS
1-2
@
2.38%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 7.71%
0-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 7.71%