Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	AVS
79.4% ( -0.09)	12.88% ( 0.05)	7.71% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.79% (

-0.07)

29.21% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.77% (

-0.09)

50.23% (

0.09)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.25% (

-0.03)

5.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.83% (

-0.09)

22.17% (

0.09)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3% (

0.05)

44.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

0.04)

80.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Benfica 79.4%

AVS 7.71%

Draw 12.88%

Benfica	Draw	AVS
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 4.56% Total : 79.4%	1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.88%	1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.71%