Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
 

Dumiense
1 - 0
AVS

Dica (11')
Cardoso (13'), Dica (17'), Faria (79'), de Sousa Ribeiro (80'), Martins (83'), Rosa (85'), Costa (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ricardo (11'), Alaba (70'), Clayton (85')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Dumiense and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumiense

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Last Game: Famalicao 4-1 Dumiense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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AVS

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Last Game: AVS 1-2 Arouca
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Dumiense had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dumiense win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
DumienseDrawAVS
35.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)39.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)47.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.023999999999997 0.02)69.54% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Dumiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.012 0.01)26.08% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (0.014000000000003 0.01)61.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)57.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dumiense 35.15%
    AVS 39.52%
    Draw 25.32%
DumienseDrawAVS
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.52%

rhs 2.0


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