Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estrela Amadora

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Pereira (12')
Pereira (45+4'), Marlon (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'do (88')
Mendes (6'), Pereira Martins (56'), N'do (76'), Kikas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Amarante
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
55.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.43%22.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)42.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1%43.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)33.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 55.49%
    Estrela Amadora 22.08%
    Draw 22.43%
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.91%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.46%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.08%