Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.