Estrela Amadora vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.