Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Porto

Arouca
3 - 2
Porto

Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (88')
Cardoso (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
13.94% (-0.042 -0.04)20.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)46.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)69.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.052 -0.05)80.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.016999999999996 0.02)13.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)40.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.94%
    Porto 65.7%
    Draw 20.35%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 65.7%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca
3.1%
Draw
8.2%
Porto
88.8%
98
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
1-1
Arouca
Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')
Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')
> Preview
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 31
Arouca
0-1
Porto
Marcano (44')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 21
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
> Preview