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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Arouca

Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Penafiel
Thursday, January 11 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
49.9% (4.907 4.91)25.96% (-0.395 -0.4)24.13% (-4.514 -4.51)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-2.431 -2.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-1.392 -1.39)55.13% (1.389 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-1.158 -1.16)76.37% (1.154 1.15)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (1.656 1.66)22.13% (-1.66 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (2.439 2.44)55.51% (-2.443 -2.44)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-4.535 -4.54)38.17% (4.531 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-4.646 -4.65)74.93% (4.643 4.64)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.9%
    Arouca 24.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.74% (1.25 1.25)
2-0 @ 9.61% (1.357 1.36)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.88 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.349 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.404 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.9%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.446 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.441 -0.44)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.911 -0.91)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.832 -0.83)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.467 -0.47)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Arouca

Vitoria de Guimaraes
87.5%
Draw
3.1%
Arouca
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
> Preview
May 7, 2017 6pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Arouca
Marega (76')
Gaspar (42')

Jubal (15'), Costa de Brito (68')
rhs 2.0


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