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Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')

Preview: Arouca vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having failed to pick up a win in their last three games, Arouca welcome Vitoria de Guimaraes to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca on Saturday.

The visitors, on the other hand, head into the game unbeaten in their most recent four outings and will be looking to maintain this solid run of results.


Match preview

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

Arouca's string of poor performances continued last Monday, when they played out a 2-2 draw against 10-man Maritimo at the Estadio do Maritimo.

After going ahead through Andre Bukia's eighth-minute opener, Ricardinho and Ali Alipour scored for the hosts to turn the game around heading into the interval, before Andre Silva opened his account for the season in the 82nd minute to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, the Arouquenses fell to a 3-0 defeat at the hands of title-chasing Porto, when Mateus Uribe, Mehdi Taremi and Ivan Marcano scored to hand the Dragoes their third win of the season.

Armando Evangelista's side have now managed one win from their opening five games in the Portuguese top flight, picking up one draw and losing three.

Thiathas been down to their struggles at both ends of the pitch, as they have scored just thrice so far while conceding the second most goals in the league with 12.

While Arouca will be looking to get up and running this weekend, they face an opposing side who have won each of the previous three meetings between the teams and are unbeaten in the last eight since 2014.

Vitoria de Guimaraes, on the other hand, played out a second consecutive goalless draw last time out when they faced Belenenses at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Despite being on the back foot for most of the game, Czech Republic goalkeeper Matous Trmal put on another eye-catching performance as he made a plethora of saves to keep his side in the game and deny O Belem all three points.

Os Vimaranenses are unbeaten in each of their most recent four outings since the opening-day 1-0 defeat against Portimonense, picking up six points from 12 available.

While Pepa will be satisfied with the superb display at the defensive end of the pitch, where they have not conceded since the aforementioned game, he will need to address his side's struggles in offense as they have failed to score in four of their five games.

Next up for Vitoria de Guimaraes is a Taca da Liga Group A opener against second tier Covilha, while Arouca take a trip to the Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas to take on Moreirense.

Arouca Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Arouca form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Vitoria de Guimaraes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D


Team News

A general shot of Vitoria de Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon in June 2020© Reuters

Evangelista will be unable to call upon the services of Venezuelan defender Sema Velazquez, who missed the game last time out after sustaining an injury while on international duty against Argentina.

Newly-signed Brazilian midfielder Antony Santos continues to wait for his debut as he makes his long journey to full fitness after sustaining a severe injury that has kept him out of action since March, while fellow midfielder Moses Yaw misses out through an ankle problem.

Brazilian goalkeeper Victor Braga could start between the sticks, having served a three-game suspension for picking up a straight red against Benfica on August 14.

As for Vitoria de Guimaraes, Toni Borevkovic and Alfa Semedo will miss the game after receiving their marching orders in the game against Belenenses last time out.

With that said, Jorge Fernandes and Tomas Handel could come in for the aforementioned duo and slot into the heart of the defence and midfield respectively.

Arouca possible starting lineup:
Castro; Thales, Ba, Basso, Quaresma; Valderrama, Silva, Moreira; Bukia, Silva, Arsenio

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Sacko, Mumin, Fernandes, Soares; Almeida, Handel, Andre; Rochinha, Estupinan, Quaresma


SM words green background

We say: Arouca 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a decent start to the season and could now move into the top half of the table with a win. Arouca, meanwhile, will head into the game in sky-high spirits following their resilient display against Maritimo last time out.

While we expect the hosts to put up a fight, we see Os Vimaranenses extending their dominance in this fixture and claiming the win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 30.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
42.9%
7
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4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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