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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Arouca

Portimonense
1 - 2
Arouca

Carrillo (71')
Ventura (20'), Jasper (56'), Carlinhos (63'), Guga (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mujica (48'), Rocha (52')
Milovanov (45+1')
Cunha (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 5-0 Vizela
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 2-2 Arouca

Portimonense and Arouca head into the weekend off the back of huge wins and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. This makes for a thrilling showdown at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawArouca
27.96% (0.873 0.87) 25.93% (0.404 0.4) 46.11% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-1.095 -1.1)52.41% (1.092 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-0.949 -0.95)74.09% (0.946 0.95)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.105 0.11)33.47% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.113 0.11)70.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-1.039 -1.04)22.7% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-1.564 -1.56)56.35% (1.56 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.96%
    Arouca 46.1%
    Draw 25.93%
PortimonenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.378 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.324 0.32)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.1%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
1-1
Portimonense
Sylla (84')
Simao (59')
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (5')
Formiga (25'), Sergio (39+39'), Dener (64')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-2
Arouca

Gonzalez (67')
Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Arouca
4-0
Portimonense
Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arouca
1-0
Portimonense
Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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