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Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vizela

Arouca
5 - 0
Vizela

Mujica (11', 86'), Cristo (17' pen., 90+2'), Pereira (50' og.)
Montero (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereira (13'), Escoval (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawVizela
31.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)27.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)41.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)57.06% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)77.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)33.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 31.26%
    Vizela 41.23%
    Draw 27.5%
AroucaDrawVizela
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.26%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.23%

How you voted: Arouca vs Vizela

Arouca
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Vizela
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Vizela
1-0
Arouca
Galovic (76' og.)
Pereira (13'), Lacava (35')

Galovic (4')
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Vizela
2-2
Arouca
Samu (9' pen.), Essende (88')
Moreira (37'), Pereira (45+6'), Wilson (45+8'), Anderson (45'), Samu (89'), Ortiz (90+6'), Andre Santos Nascimento (90+6')
Silva (57')
Cristo (39'), Mujica (64')
Esgaio (42'), Cristo (45+6'), Sylla (45+2'), Santos (45+8'), Quaresma (74'), Busquets (83')
Rocha (8')
Apr 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Arouca
1-0
Vizela
Sylla (12' pen.)
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Vizela
0-1
Arouca
Antony (3')
Apr 22, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Vizela
2-1
Arouca
Schettine (38', 72')
Cassiano (15'), Mendez (52'), Ofori (64'), Claudemir (90+5')
Ruiz (49')
Ruiz (20')