Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 35.73% ( | 26.89% ( | 37.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( | 53.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% ( | 75.37% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( | 64.77% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.38% |