Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Estoril
Jan 20, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
  • Rafik Guitane 3' goal
  • Joao Marques 50' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mujica 8'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 50'
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 87'

Estoril Praia vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
Estoril 1 - 3 Moreirense
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alejandro Marques

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Estoril Praia 38.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Arouca 36.52% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.87% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 75.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.42% ▼ (-0.08)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 74.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 38.24%
Draw 25.24%
Arouca 36.52%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
Arouca
0-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 36.52%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Tiago Esgaio 4' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 10' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 20' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 21' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 37' redcard
  • Cristo 57' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 73' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+6' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 41'
  • goal Joao Marques 49'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Gomes 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Estoril
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Arouca
  • Joao Carvalho 68' goal
  • Cassiano 90'+4' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Arouca
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Oday Dabbagh 28' goal
  • Oday Dabbagh 64' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Estoril
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Arouca
  • Abdoulaye Ba 6' goal
  • Joaozinho 26' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 67' yellowcard
  • Chico Geraldes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Ba 54'
  • yellowcard Pedro Moreira 75'
  • goal Andre Silva 89'
  • goal Eboue Kouassi 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estoril
  • Mauro Andres Caballero 88' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Filipe Russo Franco 4'
  • yellowcard Joao Gamboa 38'
  • yellowcard Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira 57'
  • yellowcard Chico Geraldes 89'
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 90'+6'
Primeira Liga
Estoril
May 21, 2017 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT
Arouca
  • Andre Claro 6' goal
  • Carlinhos 19' goal
  • Bruno Gomes 30' goal
  • Dankler 39' yellowcard
  • Tocantins 76' goal
  • Dmytro Yarchuk 79' yellowcard
  • Joao Basso 91' yellowcard
  • goal Adilson Goiano 1'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 5'
  • goal Adilson Goiano 31'
  • redcard Hugo Basto 41'
  • yellowcard Mateus 51'
  • yellowcard Walter Gonzalez 82'
  • yellowcard Filho Adilson 84'

Form Data

Estoril 1 - 3 Moreirense
Estoril 0 - 4 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 0 Farense
Famalicao 1 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 0 Chaves
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca
Vizela 1 - 0 Arouca
Arouca 0 - 3 Benfica
Estrela Amadora 1 - 4 Arouca
Arouca 3 - 0 Gil Vicente
Arouca 2 - 2 Rio Ave