Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Portimonense

Boateng (54'), Manuel (89')
Sa (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dener (76'), Ventura (78'), Pedrao (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Portimonense
55.06% ( 0.31)	24.01% ( 0.06)	20.93% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

-0.69)

50.71% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

-0.61)

72.61% (

0.61)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-0.14)

18.3% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

-0.24)

49.37% (

0.24)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

-0.77)

38.79% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47% (

-0.74)

75.53% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 55.04%

Portimonense 20.93%

Draw 24.01%

Rio Ave	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.04%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.93%