Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Relvas (69')
Guga (56'), Pedrao (86'), Dener (87'), Ventura (88'), Tornich (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyokeres (59'), Paulinho (80')
Neto (34'), Goncalves (52'), Diomande (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 5-2 Portimonense
Sunday, December 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Tondela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
11.46% ( -0.03)	17.98% ( 0.02)	70.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77% (

-0.14)

42.23% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

-0.14)

64.63% (

0.15)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.82% (

-0.15)

46.18% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.14% (

-0.11)

81.86% (

0.11)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.26% (

-0.03)

10.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.3% (

-0.08)

34.7% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 11.46%

Sporting Lisbon 70.54%

Draw 17.98%

Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.46%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.98%	0-2 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 70.54%