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[monks data]
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
May 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Rio Ave

Portimonense
0 - 0
Rio Ave


Dener (89'), Ewerton (90+2')
FT

Preview: Portimonense vs. Rio Ave - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the battle for survival heating up, Rio Ave travel to Portimonense on Saturday with a win almost necessary, as they look to move away from the relegation zone.

A run of seven games without a win has seen Miguel Cardoso's side drop to 15th spot in the Primeira Liga table, just two points above Maritimo in the relegation playoff place, while the visitors recently dragged themselves out of immediate danger and up to 11th place.


Match preview

Miguel Cardoso, now in charge of Rio Ave, pictured in 2018© Reuters

Portimonense picked up a somewhat disappointing result last time out, as they played out a 1-1 draw away at 17th-placed Farense.

The hosts led for the majority of the game thanks to an early Pedro Henrique goal, until Aylton Boa Morte scored with 10 minutes to go to salvage a point for Portimonense.

Before that, they suffered a disappointing 5-1 home defeat to Benfica.

Portimonense took the lead in the 43rd minute through Beto, but the lead would not last long as Pizzi equalised on the stroke of half time before Darwin Nunez and Everton found the net alongside a Haris Seferovic brace.

Despite their poor recent run, Paulo Sergio's side did manage to drag themselves away from the bottom three with a run of three consecutive victories at the beginning of April.

Portimonense now sit in 11th spot in the top flight, five points ahead of Boavista in the relegation playoff place and seven points above the automatic drop zone.

As a result, they will feel that one more win in the final five games of the season should confirm their safety.

They take on a Rio Ave side who are much more involved in the fight for survival, having failed to win any of their last seven league games.

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Miguel Cardoso's side picked up a point last time out, as Fabio Coentrao netted an equaliser soon into the second half to seal a 1-1 draw at home to Pacos de Ferreira.

While that does not seem a disappointing result on the surface, it did put an end to Pacos de Ferreira's four-game losing run, while stretching Rio Ave's winless run to seven matches.

In that time, Os Rioavistas have picked up just five points, while also suffering defeats to fellow strugglers Maritimo and Gil Vicente.

As a result, they have quickly fallen down the table, now sitting just one place and two points ahead of Boavista in the relegation playoff spot, and four points above the automatic drop zone.

That means Rio Ave quickly need to turn their form around if they are to remain out of the bottom three, with 15 points left to play for for the sides in the drop zone.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Rio Ave Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Rio Ave players Gelson and Carlos Mane celebrate after scoring against AC Milan in the Europa League in October 2020© Reuters

Portimonense will remain without midfielder Lucas Fernandes through injury, while new recruit Giannelli Imbula remains ineligible to play until next season.

The Portimonense attack will be led by Beto, who has recorded 11 goals and three assists in 25 appearances in the Portuguese top flight this season.

He will be supported by Aylton Boa Morte, who netted his fifth league goal of the season to equalise against Farense last time out.

Rio Ave will come into this game without experienced right-back Ivo Pinto, who will serve a suspension after he was sent off in the recent draw with Pacos de Ferreira.

In his absence, Costinha could slot into the back four alongside Toni Borevkovic, Aderlan Santos and Pedro Amaral.

Winger Carlos Mane could also be out of Saturday's clash, after he was absent from the squad in the latest game.

Former Real Madrid left-back Fabio Coentrao operated as a right-winger last time out, and he could continue in that new role after netting the equaliser to seal a point for his side.

They have struggled to find goals elsewhere this season, with frontman Gelson Dala netting just three goals in 26 Primeira Liga appearances.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Possignolo, Antonio, Cande; Clemente, Rocha, Ewerton; Boa Morte, Beto, Fabricio

Rio Ave possible starting lineup:
Kieszek; Costinha, Borevkovic, Santos, Amaral; Tarantini, Augusto; Coentrao, Guga, Geraldes; Dala


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 1-1 Rio Ave

Neither side come into this game in inspiring form, and we do not see either outclassing the other on Saturday.

While Rio Ave require a win to put a gap between themselves and the drop zone, they look devoid of confidence and could see their winless run stretched to eight games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Rio Ave

Portimonense
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Rio Ave
16.7%
6
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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