Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
0 - 2
Gil Vicente

Pereira (69'), Varela (86'), Carlinhos (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (42'), Correia (81')
Gbane (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Gil Vicente
29.88% ( 0.32)	26.25% ( 0.15)	43.87% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.28% (

-0.45)

52.72% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

-0.38)

74.36% (

0.38)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

32.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33%

68.68% (

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

-0.42)

23.9% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9% (

-0.6)

58.1% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 29.88%

Gil Vicente 43.87%

Draw 26.25%

Portimonense	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.88%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.87%