Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 43.38% ( | 26.33% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( | 52.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( | 74.51% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( | 58.55% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( | 31.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( | 68.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.28% |