Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.