Primeira Liga
Gameweek
17
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Friolog.png)
-
Angel di Maria
29'
-
Orkun Kokcu
57'
-
Antonio Silva
61'
-
Marcos Leonardo
80'
-
Joao Mario
90'+1'
-
Goncalo Rodrigues
9'
-
Aderlan
49'
-
Aderlan
58'
-
Patrick
90'+3'
Benfica vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fbenfica.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
72.87%
▼
(-0.49)
Draw
16.29%
▲
(+0.19)
Rio Ave
10.84%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
52.06%
▲
(+0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
35.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
42.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
57.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
23.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
76.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
91.46%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
8.54%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
70.45%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
29.55%
▲
(+0.26)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
56.92%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 0.5
43.07%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 1.5
20.64%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
79.35%
▼
(-0.48)
Score analysis
Benfica
72.87%
Draw
16.29%
Rio Ave
10.84%
Benfica
2-0
@
11.13%
▼
(-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 72.87%
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 72.87%
Draw
1-1
@
7.62%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 16.29%
2-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 16.29%
Rio Ave
1-2
@
3.21%
▲
(+0.09)
0-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.84%
0-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.84%