Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Rio Ave

Benfica
4 - 1
Rio Ave

di Maria (29'), Silva (61'), Leonardo (80'), Mario (90+1')
Kokcu (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodrigues (9')
Aderlan (49'), Patrick (90+3')
Aderlan (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawRio Ave
72.87% (-0.486 -0.49)16.29% (0.182 0.18)10.84% (0.3 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.456 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.98% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.46% (-0.104 -0.1)8.54% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.45% (-0.255 -0.25)29.55% (0.252 0.25)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (0.56 0.56)43.07% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (0.468 0.47)79.35% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 72.87%
    Rio Ave 10.84%
    Draw 16.29%
BenficaDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 5.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 72.87%
1-1 @ 7.62% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.29%
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.1% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 10.84%

How you voted: Benfica vs Rio Ave

Benfica
96.2%
Draw
3.8%
Rio Ave
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 26
Rio Ave
0-1
Benfica
Ramos (46')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Benfica
4-2
Rio Ave
Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')
Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
2-0
Rio Ave
Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Rio Ave
0-3
Benfica

Pinto (81')
Waldschmidt (6', 45+4'), Gabriel (84')
Gilberto (78'), Otamendi (80'), Weigl (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 27
Rio Ave
1-2
Benfica
Taremi (26')
Elmusrati (13'), Figueiras (80')
Elmusrati (62'), Santos (72'), Figueiras (90+2')
Seferovic (64'), Weigl (87')
Pizzi (45+3'), Dias (74')