Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 10, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 2
Braga

Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Braga
52.01% ( -0.26)	23.36% ( 0.19)	24.63% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.81)

44.03% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.79)

66.41% (

0.8)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.39)

16.95% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.96% (

-0.69)

47.04% (

0.7)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

-0.38)

31.67% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

-0.44)

68.09% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Benfica 52.01%

Braga 24.63%

Draw 23.35%

Benfica	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.63%