Taca de Portugal
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-
Morato
40'
-
Rafa Silva
42'
-
Arthur Cabral
44'
-
Angel di Maria
60'
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Fredrik Aursnes
70'
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Rodrigo Zalazar
7'
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Rodrigo Zalazar
48'
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Victor Gomez
58'
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Paulo Oliveira
72'
Benfica vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
52.01%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
23.36%
▲
(+0.20)
Braga
24.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
56.75%
▼
(-0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.97%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
44.03%
▲
(+0.82)
Over 3.5
33.59%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 3.5
66.41%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 4.5
17.22%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 4.5
82.78%
▲
(+0.59)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
52.96%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
47.04%
▲
(+0.70)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
68.33%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
31.67%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
31.91%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
68.09%
▲
(+0.45)
Score analysis
Benfica
52.01%
Draw
23.35%
Braga
24.63%
Benfica
2-1
@
9.72%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 52.01%
1-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 52.01%
Draw
1-1
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
Braga
1-2
@
6.3%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.63%