Taca da Liga
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Tiago Margarido
0'
-
Jose Gomes
62'
-
Gustavo
70'
-
Luis Esteves
74'
-
Witi
77'
-
Joao Moutinho
16'
-
Sikou Niakate
24'
-
Ricardo Horta
44'
-
Sikou Niakate
45'+4'
-
Joao Moutinho
86'
Nacional vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F32%2Fnacional.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Nacional
23.14%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
22.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Braga
54.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
59.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.35%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
39.65%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
38%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
62%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
20.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
79.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
69.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
30.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
33.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
66.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
85.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
14.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
57.61%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
42.39%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Nacional
23.14%
Draw
22.06%
Braga
54.8%
Nacional
2-1
@
6.01%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.14%
1-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.14%
Draw
1-1
@
10.12%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.06%
2-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.06%
Braga
1-2
@
9.79%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 54.8%
0-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 54.8%