Nacional vs Penafiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Penafiel had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Penafiel win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.