Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
0 - 0
Rio Ave

Galeno (10')
Evanilson (5'), Mario (20'), Galeno (69'), Pepe (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Freire (6'), Nobrega (36'), Tanlongo (64'), Luiz (77'), Boateng (84')
Boateng (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estoril
Wednesday, January 31 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
80.96% ( 0.28)	12.71% ( -0.2)	6.33% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.33% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.39% (

0.72)

34.61% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.44% (

0.8)

56.56% (

-0.8)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.43% (

0.21)

6.56% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.56% (

0.56)

24.44% (

-0.55)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.45% (

0.3)

52.55% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.64% (

0.2)

86.36% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Porto 80.95%

Rio Ave 6.33%

Draw 12.71%

Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 80.95%	1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 12.71%	0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 6.33%