Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.