Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 31, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Estoril

Boateng (56')
Patrick (20'), Joca (46'), Costinha (90+4'), Oudrhiri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (85')
Feltes (55'), Mangala (84'), Gomes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Estoril Praia
58.77% ( 0.02)	22.28% ( 0.13)	18.94% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

-0.75)

46.17% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54% (

-0.71)

68.46% (

0.71)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

-0.25)

15.37% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85% (

-0.47)

44.15% (

0.47)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

-0.59)

38.29% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

-0.57)

75.05% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 58.77%

Estoril Praia 18.94%

Draw 22.29%

Rio Ave	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.77%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.94%