Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals

Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa

Benfica
1 - 1
Estoril

Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')

Estoril win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Boavista
Friday, January 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.55%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
80.55% ( -0.09)	12.21% ( 0.09)	7.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.52% (

-0.53)

27.48% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.9% (

-0.66)

48.1% (

0.67)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.79% (

-0.11)

5.21% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.39% (

-0.35)

20.61% (

0.35)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.49% (

-0.42)

44.51% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.46% (

-0.34)

80.54% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Benfica 80.55%

Estoril Praia 7.24%

Draw 12.21%

Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.27% Total : 80.55%	1-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.03% Total : 12.21%	1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 7.24%