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Casa Pia
Estoril
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Rio Ave

Chaves
0 - 0
Rio Ave


Vitoria (43'), Fernandes (69')
FT

Graca (29'), Boateng (39'), Nobrega (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawRio Ave
33.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)25.09%41.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.012 0.01)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.012 0.01)68.81% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)61.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)22.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.55%
    Rio Ave 41.36%
    Draw 25.08%
ChavesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.36%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rio Ave
2-0
Chaves
Acevedo (64' pen.), Manuel (90+8')
Pantalon (40'), Joca (73'), Savio (90+3')

Langa (14'), Nogueira (20'), Sylla (62')
Langa (14')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Ronaldo (53')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 8
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')