Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Chaves
Jan 13, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Sporting Lisbon
  • Joao Correia 62' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 44'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 52'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 56'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 71'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 90'+1'

Chaves vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2024 8.30pm
Famalicao 2 - 2 Chaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Chaves 12.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 17.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Sporting Lisbon 69.69% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 39.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 38.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 61.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 20.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.16% ▼ (-0.07)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.02% ▲ (+0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 89.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 10.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 66.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 33.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Chaves 12.41%
Draw 17.9%
Sporting Lisbon 69.68%
Chaves
1-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.9%
Sporting Lisbon
0-2 @ 11.33%
0-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 69.68%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Chaves
Feb 20, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Sporting Lisbon
  • Joao Teixeira 34' goal
  • Hector Hernandez 90'+6' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 8'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 61'
  • goal Nuno Santos 70'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Chaves
  • Marcus Edwards 36' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ugarte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 66' yellowcard
  • Hidemasa Morita 73' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Vitoria 60'
  • goal Juninho 63'
  • yellowcard Kevin Pina 67'
  • yellowcard Euller 82'
  • redcard Patrick Fernandes 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Chaves
Mar 30, 2019 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira (Chaves)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Jefferson 34' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Jefferson 52' redcard
  • Andre Luis 60' goal
  • Niltinho 99' yellowcard
  • Luis Martins 99' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Phellype 23'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 37'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 80'
  • redcard Stefan Ristovski 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 99'
  • goal Luiz Phellype 101'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 11, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Chaves
  • Bas Dost 23' goal
  • Nemanja Gudelj 45' yellowcard
  • Bas Dost 86' goal
  • redcard Bruno Gallo 71'
  • goal Niltinho 81'
  • yellowcard William 83'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 94'
Primeira Liga
Chaves
Mar 12, 2018 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira (Chaves)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Platiny 91' goal
  • goal Bas Dost 62'
  • goal Bas Dost 86'
  • yellowcard Bryan Ruiz 92'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 22, 2017 8.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Chaves
  • Bas Dost 5' goal
  • Bas Dost 15' goal
  • Gelson Martins 30' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 39' goal
  • Marcos Acuna 58' goal
  • Bas Dost 74' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Tiba 88'
  • goal Davidson 90'

Form Data

Famalicao 2 - 2 Chaves
Porto 1 - 0 Chaves
Chaves 1 - 3 Casa Pia
Estoril 4 - 0 Chaves
Chaves 2 - 1 Vizela
Portimonense 2 - 1 Chaves
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 1 Estoril
Portimonense 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Tondela 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Sturm Graz