Taca de Portugal
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
-
Pedro Goncalves
11'
-
Pedro Goncalves
16'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
37'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
46'
Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fsporting-lisbon.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Sporting Lisbon
78.2%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
14.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Tondela
7.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
46.16%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
36.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
41.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
58.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
23.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
76.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
92.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
7.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
73.12%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
26.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5
49.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
50.11%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
15.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
84.73%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Sporting Lisbon
78.2%
Draw
14.14%
Tondela
7.66%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
@
12.6%
▼
(-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 78.2%
3-0 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 78.2%
Draw
1-1
@
6.72%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.14%
0-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.14%
Tondela
0-1
@
2.59%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 7.66%
1-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 7.66%
Head to Head
Taca da Liga
-
Ricardo Alves
11'
-
Luan
16'
-
Lucas Mezenga
54'
-
Helder Tavares
76'
-
Abdoulaye Ba
85'
-
Daniel Braganca
17'
-
Paulinho
32'
-
Luis Neto
45'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
29
-
Juan Boselli
13'
-
Pedro Augusto
52'
-
Joao Pedro
68'
-
Manu Hernando
71'
-
Goncalo Inacio
29'
-
Pablo Sarabia
33'
-
Matheus Reis
50'
-
Antonio Adan
52'
-
Pablo Sarabia
69'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
12
-
Pablo Sarabia
10'
-
Pablo Sarabia
30'
-
Paulinho
50'
-
Manuel Ugarte
78'
-
Tiago Tomas
85'
-
Rafael Barbosa
30'
-
Pedro Augusto
74'
-
Modibo Sagnan
80'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
23
-
Naoufel Khacef
40'
-
Roberto Olabe
52'
-
Ricardo Alves
60'
-
Sebastian Coates
44'
-
Tiago Tomas
81'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Joao Palhinha
32'
-
Pedro Goncalves
45'
-
Pedro Goncalves
49'
-
Pedro Porro
79'
-
Matheus Nunes
85'
-
Nuno Santos
86'
-
Andraz Sporar
90'+3'
-
Filipe Ferreira
28'
-
Pedro Augusto
85'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
27
-
Jovane Cabral
13'
-
Andraz Sporar
31'
-
Yohan Tavares
10'
-
Tiago Almeida
87'
-
Ricardo Alves
89'